Updated on 2024/10/30

写真a

 
OKOSHI Hirofumi
 
Organization
Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences Lecturer
Position
Lecturer
Contact information
メールアドレス
External link

Degree

  • Ph.D. in Economics ( 2020.7   University of Munich )

  • 修士(経済学) ( 2015.3   一橋大学大学院 )

  • 学士(経済学) ( 2013.3   学習院大学 )

Research Interests

  • International Taxation

  • Transfer Pricing

  • Trade Policy

Research Areas

  • Humanities & Social Sciences / Economic policy  / International Taxation, Trade Policy, Transfer Pricing

Education

  • University of Munich   Munich Graduate School of Economics  

    2017.10 - 2020.8

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    Country: Germany

    Notes: Begin to work at Okayama Univeristy (since Apr 2020). Defense of my dissertation (July 2020)

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  • Hitotsubashi University   経済学研究科   応用経済

    2013.4 - 2015.3

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    Country: Japan

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  • Gakushuin University   経済学部   経済学科

    2010.4 - 2013.3

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    Country: Japan

    Notes: 早期卒業

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Research History

  • Erasmus University Rotterdam   Erasmus School of Economics   Visiting Professor

    2023.3 - 2025.2

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    Country:Netherlands

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  • Okayama University   Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences   Senior assistant professor

    2020.4

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    Country:Japan

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Professional Memberships

Committee Memberships

  • International Institute of Public Finance   Scientific committee of the 80th annual congress of IIPF  

    2024.2 - 2024.8   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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Papers

  • Attractive target for tax avoidance: trade liberalization and entry mode Reviewed International journal

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Tax and Public Finance   2024.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC  

    Abstract

    Growing foreign direct investments (FDIs) have been observed in parallel to the development of tax avoidance by multinational enterprises; however, empirical evidence indicates the asymmetric effects of trade costs on a firm’s entry decision. To give a new rationale and insights into the impacts of transfer pricing and trade liberalization on a firm’s global activities, this study incorporates transfer pricing and investigates a foreign firm’s entry decision: exports, greenfield FDI (GFDI), or cross-border mergers and acquisitions (CM&As). We show that CM&A is the equilibrium entry mode when transfer pricing regulation is loose, whereas the choice between exports and GFDI depends on the fixed costs of GFDI. Moreover, trade liberalization increases the likelihood of CM&A but decreases that of exports because a reduction in trade costs enhances tax-avoidance efficiency due to more intrafirm trade, implying that tax avoidance in the form of CM&A becomes crucial as globalization progresses. Our welfare analysis shows that regulating CM&A based on consumers’ benefits may result in welfare reduction because profit shifting is most effective under CM&A and a host country’s tax revenue from the foreign firm increases. The results imply the importance of considering the link between international tax and antitrust policies.

    DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09830-3

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    Other Link: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10797-024-09830-3/fulltext.html

  • Tax havens and cross-border licensing with transfer pricing regulation Reviewed International journal

    Jay Pil Choi, Jota Ishikawa, Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Tax and Public Finance   31 ( 2 )   333 - 366   2022.12

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC  

    DOI: 10.1007/s10797-022-09770-w

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    Other Link: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10797-022-09770-w/fulltext.html

  • ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND AGGLOMERATION OF MULTINATIONAL PRODUCTION WITH TRANSFER PRICING Reviewed International journal

    Hayato Kato, Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Economic Review   2022.8

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1111/iere.12569

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  • Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: Free trade agreements and transfer pricing Reviewed International journal

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Tax and Public Finance   28 ( 5 )   1188 - 1210   2021.10

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC  

    <title>Abstract</title>We explore the new roles of rules of origin (ROO) when multinational enterprises (MNEs) manipulate their transfer prices to avoid a high corporate tax. The ROO under a free trade agreement (FTA) require exporters to identify the origin of exports to be eligible for a preferential tariff rate. We find that a value-added criterion of ROO restricts abusive transfer pricing by MNEs. Interestingly, an FTA with ROO can induce MNEs to shift profits from a low- to high-tax country. Because the ROO augment tax revenues inside FTA countries, they can transform a welfare-reducing FTA into a welfare-improving one.

    DOI: 10.1007/s10797-021-09689-8

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  • Rules of origin and consumer-hurting free trade agreement Reviewed International journal

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

    The World Economy   44 ( 8 )   2303 - 2328   2021.8

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Wiley  

    DOI: 10.1111/twec.13097

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  • Production location of multinational firms under transfer pricing: The impact of the arm's length principle Reviewed International journal

    Hayato Kato, Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Tax and Public Finance   26 ( 4 )   835 - 871   2019.8

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

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  • Negotiation for transfer prices under the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series   24-E-026   2024.2

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    Language:English  

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  • Keep your friends close and your enemies closer: Network externality and tax competition

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series   24-E-024   2024.2

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    Language:English  

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  • Backfired Deregulation of Foreign Ownership Restrictions under Fiscal Competition for Foreign Direct Investment

    Hirofumi Okoshi, Kyikyi Thar

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series   2023.8

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English  

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  • Antidumping on Tax-induced Dumping

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series   22-E-063   2022.7

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    Language:English  

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  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series   E-21-038   2021.5

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (bulletin of university, research institution)  

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  • Wake not a sleeping lion: Free trade agreements and decision rights in multinationals

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

    RIETI Discussion Paper Series   21-E-036   2021.4

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    Language:English  

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Presentations

  • Keep your friends close and your enemies closer: Network externality and tax competition

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Dutch Workshop on Corporate Taxation  2024.10.21 

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    Event date: 2024.10.21

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Beneficial Fiscal Competition for Foreign Direct Investment: Transport Infrastructure and Economic Integration

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    IIPF 80th Annual Congres  2024.8.22 

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    Event date: 2024.8.21 - 2024.8.23

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Together or apart? Eco-friendly location under fiscal competition

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Asia Pacific Trade Seminars (APTS) 2024  2024.6.29 

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    Event date: 2024.6.29 - 2024.6.30

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Tax Avoidance in Digital Economy: Network Externalities and Transfer Pricing Regulations

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    PET 2024 International Conference on Public Economic Theory  2024.6.11 

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    Event date: 2024.6.10 - 2024.6.12

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    3rd Dutch Workshop on Corporate Taxation  2023.10.27 

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    Event date: 2023.10.27

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Antidumping on Tax-induced Dumping

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    ETSG 24th Annual conference  2023.9.16 

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    Event date: 2023.9.14 - 2023.9.16

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Keep your friends close and your enemies closer: Network externality and tax competition

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    IIPF 79th Annual Congres  2023.8.15 

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    Event date: 2023.8.14 - 2023.8.16

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Keep your friends close and your enemies closer: Network externality and tax competition

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    The KVS New Paper Sessions  2023.6.12 

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    Event date: 2023.6.12

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Keep your friends close and your enemies closer International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Symposium of Public Economics 2023  2023.3.24 

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    Event date: 2023.3.24

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Fiscal competition for FDI under foreign ownership regulation

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Japanese Society of International Economics Kansai  2023.1.21 

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    Event date: 2023.1.21

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Antidumping on tax-induced dumping Invited International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Korea International Economic Association Winter Conference 2022  2022.12.15 

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    Event date: 2022.12.15

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Quality upgrading for tax avoidance

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    80th Annual Meeting of Japan Society of International Economics  2021.10.24  Japan Society of International Economics

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    Event date: 2021.10.23 - 2021.10.24

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Tokyo (Online Meeting)  

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  • Quality upgrading for tax avoidance International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    ETSG 22nd Annual Conference  2021.9.11  European Trade Study Group

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    Event date: 2021.9.9 - 2021.9.11

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Ghent  

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  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    EARIE 48th Annual Conference  2021.8.28 

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    Event date: 2021.8.27 - 2021.8.28

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Quality upgrading for tax avoidance International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    IIPF 77th Annual Congress  2021.8.18  International Institute of Public Finance

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    Event date: 2021.8.18 - 2021.8.20

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Iceland  

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  • Antidumping rules and preventive transfer pricing

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    The 79th Annual Meeting of The Japan Society of International Economics  2020.10.17 

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    Event date: 2020.10.17 - 2020.10.18

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: Free trade agreements and transfer pricing

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    76th Annual Congress of International Institute of Public Finance  2020.8.19 

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    Event date: 2020.8.18 - 2020.8.20

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

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  • Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: Free trade agreements and transfer pricing International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    ETSG 2019 Bern Twenty-first Annual Conference  2019.9.14  European Trade Study Group, University of Bern

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    Event date: 2019.9.12 - 2019.9.14

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Bern  

    This study explores the new roles of rules of origin (ROO) when multinational enterprises (MNEs) manipulate their transfer prices to avoid a high corporate tax. ROO of a free trade agreement (FTA) require exporters to identify the origin of exports to be eligible for a preferential tariff rate. The results suggest that a value-added criterion of ROO restricts MNEs’ abusive transfer pricing. Interestingly, an FTA with ROO can induce MNEs to shift profits from a low-tax country to a high-tax country. Because ROO augment tax revenues inside FTA countries, they can transform a welfare-reducing FTA into a welfare-improving FTA.

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  • Economic integration and agglomeration of multinational production with transfer pricing International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    ERSA 59th Congress  2019.8.30  European Regional Science Association, University of Lyon

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    Event date: 2019.8.27 - 2019.8.30

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Lyon  

    Do low corporate taxes always favor multinational production in the course of economic integration? We build a two-country spatial model with different corporate tax rates in which multinational enterprises (MNEs) can manipulate transfer prices in intra-firm trade. Using transfer pricing, MNEs can shift profits between domestic production plants and foreign distribution affliates. In the beginning of integration, MNEs' plants are concentrated in the low-tax country, and in the later stage, this location pattern reverses. High taxes may favor multinational production; but it does not guarantee greater tax revenues. We also analyze tax competition between two unequal-sized countries and show that profit shifting leads to tougher competition.

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  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    IIPF 75th Annual Congress  2019.8.22  International Institute of Public Finance, University of Glasgow

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    Event date: 2019.8.21 - 2019.8.23

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Glasgow  

    High product differentiation enhances consumers’ utility and firms’ profits but at the same time makes it difficult for tax authorities to audit MNEs’ tax avoidance strategies, as the arm’s length principle is difficult to apply. This paper combines these two aspects of product differentiation and studies the interrelation between profit shifting and product differentiation. The model shows that MNEs engage in more investment in product differentiation in the presence of profit shifting opportunities and globalization accelerates the investment. the model also show that globalization can improve welfare in a non-tax haven.

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  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Conference on Public Economic Theory 2019  2019.7.11  Association for Public Economic Theory , University of Strasbourg

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    Event date: 2019.7.9 - 2019.7.11

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Strasboug  

    High product differentiation enhances consumers’ utility and firms’ profits but at the same time makes it difficult for tax authorities to audit MNEs’ tax avoidance strategies, as the arm’s length principle is difficult to apply. This paper combines these two aspects of product differentiation and studies the interrelation between profit shifting and product differentiation. The model shows that MNEs engage in more investment in product differentiation in the presence of profit shifting opportunities and globalization accelerates the investment. the model also show that globalization can improve welfare in a non-tax haven.

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  • Economic integration and agglomeration of multinational production with transfer pricing International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    The 15th Meeting of the Asia Pacific Trade Seminars  2019.6.29  Asia Pasicif Trade Seminars, University of Tokyo

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    Event date: 2019.6.29 - 2019.6.30

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Tokyo  

    Do low corporate taxes always favor multinational production in the course of economic integration? We build a two-country spatial model with different corporate tax rates in which multinational enterprises (MNEs) can manipulate transfer prices in intra-firm trade. Using transfer pricing, MNEs can shift profits between domestic production plants and foreign distribution affliates. In the beginning of integration, MNEs' plants are concentrated in the low-tax country, and in the later stage, this location pattern reverses. High taxes may favor multinational production; but it does not guarantee greater tax revenues. We also analyze tax competition between two unequal-sized countries and show that profit shifting leads to tougher competition.

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  • Economic integration and agglomeration of multinational production with transfer pricing International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Munich Young Economics' Meeting 2019  2019.6.13  University of Munich, GRK1928 Cohort 2016-2017

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    Event date: 2019.6.12 - 2019.6.14

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Kochek am See, Barvaria  

    Do low corporate taxes always favor multinational production in the course of economic integration? We build a two-country spatial model with different corporate tax rates in which multinational enterprises (MNEs) can manipulate transfer prices in intra-firm trade. Using transfer pricing, MNEs can shift profits between domestic production plants and foreign distribution affliates. In the beginning of integration, MNEs' plants are concentrated in the low-tax country, and in the later stage, this location pattern reverses. High taxes may favor multinational production; but it does not guarantee greater tax revenues. We also analyze tax competition between two unequal-sized countries and show that profit shifting leads to tougher competition.

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  • Economic integration and agglomeration of multinational production with transfer pricing International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    European Doctral Group of Economics Jamboree  2018.9.6  University of Munich

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    Event date: 2018.9.6 - 2018.9.7

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Munich  

    Do low corporate taxes always favor multinational production in the course of economic integration? We build a two-country spatial model with different corporate tax rates in which multinational enterprises (MNEs) can manipulate transfer prices in intra-firm trade. Using transfer pricing, MNEs can shift profits between domestic production plants and foreign distribution affliates. In the beginning of integration, MNEs' plants are concentrated in the low-tax country, and in the later stage, this location pattern reverses. High taxes may favor multinational production; but it does not guarantee greater tax revenues. We also analyze tax competition between two unequal-sized countries and show that profit shifting leads to tougher competition.

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  • Production location of multinational firms under transfer pricing: The impact of the arm's length principle International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    IIPF 74th Annual Congress  2018.8.21  International Institute of Public Finance

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    Event date: 2018.8.21 - 2018.8.23

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Tampere  

    When multinational enterprises (MNEs) separate the geographical location of affiliates, they can shift profits between the affiliates by manipulating intra-firm prices of inputs. We show that if the international tax difference between the parent and the host countries is large, MNEs choose to separately locate their affiliates in the two countries. We also investigate the impact of the arm’s length principle (ALP) on the location choice, which requires that the intra-firm price of inputs should be set equal to the price of similar inputs for the independent downstream firms. The ALP may change the location choice of MNEs, bringing smaller tax revenues to the host country, but greater revenues globally.

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  • Production location of multinational firms under transfer pricing: The impact of the arm's length principle International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    GEP 17th Annual Postgraduate Conference  2018.4.19  University of Nottingham, Centre for Economic Policy Research, GEP

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    Event date: 2018.4.19 - 2018.4.20

    Language:English   Presentation type:Poster presentation  

    Venue:Univeresity of Nottingham  

    When multinational enterprises (MNEs) separate the geographical location of affiliates, they can shift profits between the affiliates by manipulating intra-firm prices of inputs. We show that if the international tax difference between the parent and the host countries is large, MNEs choose to separately locate their affiliates in the two countries. We also investigate the impact of the arm’s length principle (ALP) on the location choice, which requires that the intra-firm price of inputs should be set equal to the price of similar inputs for the independent downstream firms. The ALP may change the location choice of MNEs, bringing smaller tax revenues to the host country, but greater revenues globally.

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  • Wake not a sleeping lion: Free trade agreements and decision rights in multinationals Invited

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    JSIE Chubu-Kansai joint workshop  2020.12.5 

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    Language:Japanese  

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  • Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: Free trade agreements and transfer pricing Invited

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Workshop on International Economics  2020.2.26  Osaka University

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Osaka University  

    This study explores the new roles of rules of origin (ROO) when multinational enterprises (MNEs) manipulate their transfer prices to avoid a high corporate tax. ROO of a free trade agreement (FTA) require exporters to identify the origin of exports to be eligible for a preferential tariff rate. The results suggest that a value-added criterion of ROO restricts MNEs’ abusive transfer pricing. Interestingly, an FTA with ROO can induce MNEs to shift profits from a low-tax country to a high-tax country. Because ROO augment tax revenues inside FTA countries, they can transform a welfare-reducing FTA into a welfare-improving FTA.

    researchmap

  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Japanese Society of International Economics Kanto  2019.12.21  Japan Society of International Economics Kanto

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Nihon University  

    High product differentiation enhances consumers’ utility and firms’ profits but at the same time makes it difficult for tax authorities to audit MNEs’ tax avoidance strategies, as the arm’s length principle is difficult to apply. This paper combines these two aspects of product differentiation and studies the interrelation between profit shifting and product differentiation. The model shows that MNEs engage in more investment in product differentiation in the presence of profit shifting opportunities and globalization accelerates the investment. the model also show that globalization can improve welfare in a non-tax haven.

    researchmap

  • Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: Free trade agreements and transfer pricing Invited International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Summer Workshop on Economic Theory (International Economics)  2019.8.4  Otaru University of Commerce

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Otaru University of Commerce Sapporo Satellite  

    This study explores the new roles of rules of origin (ROO) when multinational enterprises (MNEs) manipulate their transfer prices to avoid a high corporate tax. ROO of a free trade agreement (FTA) require exporters to identify the origin of exports to be eligible for a preferential tariff rate. The results suggest that a value-added criterion of ROO restricts MNEs’ abusive transfer pricing. Interestingly, an FTA with ROO can induce MNEs to shift profits from a low-tax country to a high-tax country. Because ROO augment tax revenues inside FTA countries, they can transform a welfare-reducing FTA into a welfare-improving FTA.

    researchmap

  • Tariff elimination versus tax avoidance: Free trade agreements and transfer pricing

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Public Economics Ph.D. Seminar  2019.7.23  University of Munich

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Munich  

    This study explores the new roles of rules of origin (ROO) when multinational enterprises (MNEs) manipulate their transfer prices to avoid a high corporate tax. ROO of a free trade agreement (FTA) require exporters to identify the origin of exports to be eligible for a preferential tariff rate. The results suggest that a value-added criterion of ROO restricts MNEs’ abusive transfer pricing. Interestingly, an FTA with ROO can induce MNEs to shift profits from a low-tax country to a high-tax country. Because ROO augment tax revenues inside FTA countries, they can transform a welfare-reducing FTA into a welfare-improving FTA.

    researchmap

  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Production differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    International Trade and Investment Workshop  2019.7.4  Hitotsubashi University

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Hitotsubashi University  

    High product differentiation enhances consumers’ utility and firms’ profits but at the same time makes it difficult for tax authorities to audit MNEs’ tax avoidance strategies, as the arm’s length principle is difficult to apply. This paper combines these two aspects of product differentiation and studies the interrelation between profit shifting and product differentiation. The model shows that MNEs engage in more investment in product differentiation in the presence of profit shifting opportunities and globalization accelerates the investment. the model also show that globalization can improve welfare in a non-tax haven.

    researchmap

  • Innovation for tax avoidance: Product differentiation and the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Public Economics Ph.D. Seminar  2019.2.5  University of Munich

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Munich  

    High product differentiation enhances consumers’ utility and firms’ profits but at the same time makes it difficult for tax authorities to audit MNEs’ tax avoidance strategies, as the arm’s length principle is difficult to apply. This paper combines these two aspects of product differentiation and studies the interrelation between profit shifting and product differentiation. The model shows that MNEs engage in more investment in product differentiation in the presence of profit shifting opportunities and globalization accelerates the investment. the model also show that globalization can improve welfare in a non-tax haven.

    researchmap

  • Tax havens and cross-border licensing

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Public Economics Ph.D. Seminar  2019.1.20  University of Munich

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Munich  

    Multinational enterprises (MNEs) are incentivized to use transfer pricing in tax planning when corporate tax rates differ in different countries. The incentive is stronger when MNEs own intangible assets which can easily be shifted across countries. To mitigate such strategic avoidance of tax payments, the OECD proposed the arm's length principle (ALP). This paper investigates how the ALP affects MNEs' licensing strategies and welfare in the presence of a tax haven. We specifically deal with two methods of the ALP: the comparable uncontrolled price method and the transactional net margin method. The ALP may distort MNEs' licensing decisions, because providing a license to unrelated firms restricts the MNE's profit-shifting opportunities due to the emergence of comparable transactions. In particular, the avoidance of licensing in the presence of the ALP may worsen domestic welfare if the licensee and the MNE’s subsidiary do not compete in the domestic market, but may improve welfare if they compete.

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  • Production location of multinational firms under transfer pricing: The impact of the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    CES ifo Public Economic Seminar  2018.6.7  University of Munich

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Munich  

    When multinational enterprises (MNEs) separate the geographical location of affiliates, they can shift profits between the affiliates by manipulating intra-firm prices of inputs. We show that if the international tax difference between the parent and the host countries is large, MNEs choose to separately locate their affiliates in the two countries. We also investigate the impact of the arm’s length principle (ALP) on the location choice, which requires that the intra-firm price of inputs should be set equal to the price of similar inputs for the independent downstream firms. The ALP may change the location choice of MNEs, bringing smaller tax revenues to the host country, but greater revenues globally.

    researchmap

  • Economic integration and agglomeration of multinational production with transfer pricing

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    CES ifo Public Economic Seminar  2018.2.1  University of Munich

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:University of Munich  

    Do low corporate taxes always favor multinational production in the course of economic integration? We build a two-country spatial model with different corporate tax rates in which multinational enterprises (MNEs) can manipulate transfer prices in intra-firm trade. Using transfer pricing, MNEs can shift profits between domestic production plants and foreign distribution affliates. In the beginning of integration, MNEs' plants are concentrated in the low-tax country, and in the later stage, this location pattern reverses. High taxes may favor multinational production; but it does not guarantee greater tax revenues. We also analyze tax competition between two unequal-sized countries and show that profit shifting leads to tougher competition.

    researchmap

  • Production location of multinational firms under transfer pricing: The impact of the arm's length principle

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Japanese Society of International Economics Kanto  2017.5.20  Japanese Society of International Economics Kanto

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Nihon University  

    When multinational enterprises (MNEs) separate the geographical location of affiliates, they can shift profits between the affiliates by manipulating intra-firm prices of inputs. We show that if the international tax difference between the parent and the host countries is large, MNEs choose to separately locate their affiliates in the two countries. We also investigate the impact of the arm’s length principle (ALP) on the location choice, which requires that the intra-firm price of inputs should be set equal to the price of similar inputs for the independent downstream firms. The ALP may change the location choice of MNEs, bringing smaller tax revenues to the host country, but greater revenues globally.

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  • Production location of multinational firms under transfer pricing: The impact of the arm's length principle International conference

    Hirofumi Okoshi

    Hitotsubashi-Sogang Trade Workshop  2017.2.22  Hitotsubashi University, Sogang University

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Hitotsubashi University  

    When multinational enterprises (MNEs) separate the geographical location of affiliates, they can shift profits between the affiliates by manipulating intra-firm prices of inputs. We show that if the international tax difference between the parent and the host countries is large, MNEs choose to separately locate their affiliates in the two countries. We also investigate the impact of the arm’s length principle (ALP) on the location choice, which requires that the intra-firm price of inputs should be set equal to the price of similar inputs for the independent downstream firms. The ALP may change the location choice of MNEs, bringing smaller tax revenues to the host country, but greater revenues globally.

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Research Projects

  • Fiscal Competition for Firms: Views from Public Infrastructure and Globalization

    2024.04 - 2025.02

    Japan Finance Organization for Municipalities  地方財政等に関する研究者に対する助成 

    Shigeo Morita, Hirofumi Okoshi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

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  • Multinational enterpises' tax avoidance behavior and transfer pricing regulation in two-sided market

    Grant number:2303  2024.02 - 2026.03

    Zengin Foundation for Studies on Economics and Finance  学術研究助成 

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

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  • International Trade and Trade Policies in Two-sided Markets

    Grant number:23K01357  2023.04 - 2026.03

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    Hiroshi Mukunoki, Hirofumi Okoshi

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    Authorship:Coinvestigator(s) 

    Grant amount:\4810000 ( Direct expense: \3700000 、 Indirect expense:\1110000 )

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  • Multinationals' motives of research and development for tax avoidance: From the perspectives of international tax policies

    2023.02 - 2025.02

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Overseas Research Fellowships  Overseas Research Fellowships

    Hirofumi Okoshi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

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  • Analysises on Tax Competition under Diversified Economic Integration: Interlink between Economic Integration

    Grant number:22K13390  2022.04 - 2026.03

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists  Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

    Hirofumi Okoshi

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct expense: \3500000 、 Indirect expense:\1050000 )

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  • 多国籍企業の行動と課税に関する理論・実証分析

    Grant number:22H00855  2022.04 - 2026.03

    日本学術振興会  科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(B)  基盤研究(B)

    西村 幸浩, 森田 薫夫, 清田 耕造, 長谷川 誠, 高松 慶裕, 大越 裕史

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    Grant amount:\16770000 ( Direct expense: \12900000 、 Indirect expense:\3870000 )

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  • Analyses on Multinationals' Tax Avoidance and the Arm's Length Principle: Viewpoints from Product Differentiation

    Grant number:20K22122  2020.09 - 2022.03

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up  Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

    大越 裕史

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    Grant amount:\2730000 ( Direct expense: \2100000 、 Indirect expense:\630000 )

    研究期間2年目は、初年度に行っていた研究を国際学会で報告をし研究内容の発表を行うとともに、本研究課題の関連研究である研究の査読付き国際学術誌への改訂作業を行った。
    本研究課題は、多国籍企業の租税回避行動と製品差別化に関する理論的な分析を行っており、初年度に行った研究(A)は、2年目の間にディスカッション・ペーパーとして刊行した。すでに査読付き国際学術誌への投稿段階にある。投稿段階であるものの、国際学会での報告も行っており、必要に応じた改訂をしており、早期の国際学術誌への受理を目指している。当該年度に主に注力した研究(B)は、水平的な製品差別化を分析している研究(A)と異なり、垂直的な製品差別化に注目した。また、本研究では移転価格規制に加えて、研究開発への補助金政策も分析に取り入れている。研究開発の程度によって、研究開発がもたらす消費者と生産者の利益と租税回避のしやすさに与える損失の大きさが変わってくるため、研究開発補助金を与えている状況においては、移転価格規制が高税率国に与える影響が状況によって変容することを明確にした。この結果は、考慮して政策を考案する必要性を示唆している。
    また関連研究として、新経済地理学と移転価格の融合研究では、企業の生産活動が高税率国と低税率国のどちらに集積しやすいかを分析していた。当該年度は、企業の外国企業への供給選択として輸出の選択肢を内生化した分析を行うなどの改定要求にあった分析を行い、これまでに得られていた結果が頑強であることを理論的にも、実証的にも確認することができた。

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  • Studies on the interaction between transfer pricing of multinationals and trade policies

    Grant number:20K01659  2020.04 - 2023.03

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

    椋 寛

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    Grant amount:\4420000 ( Direct expense: \3400000 、 Indirect expense:\1020000 )

    研究2年度目となる今年度は、昨年度までに実施した研究の精緻化を実施するとともに、多国籍企業の移転価格設定と貿易政策に関する新たな研究を実施した。
    まず、昨年度から継続している「原産地規則の付加価値基準と多国籍企業の移転価格設定」に関しては、消費者余剰の変化に関する条件を明確化するなどの改訂を実施した。同論文は公共経済の分野で評価が高い学術誌であるInternational Tax and Public Finance誌に掲載が受理され、既に出版されている。
    また、同じく昨年度より継続している「自由貿易協定の締結による生産立地移転と権限移譲が多国籍企業の法人税回避に与える影響」に関する分析について、厚生効果をより精緻化しつつその頑健性を確認するなどの改訂を行った。同論文は国際学会(APTS 2021)で報告され、現在、国際学術誌に投稿中である。
    さらに、企業内取引価格がしばしば輸入国のアンチダンピング措置の対象になることに注目し、企業内取引価格に対するアンチダンピングが、多国籍企業の法人税回避行動と各国の厚生に与える影響について、新たに分析を行った。具体的には、輸入国政府が国内企業の利潤を重視してアンチダンピング措置の決定を行う時、(法人税が高い)輸出国における移転価格に対する取り締まりの強化は、アンチダンピング措置の発動を誘発する可能性があることが明らかになった。アンチダンピング措置は多国籍企業の利潤を下げるものの、輸出国の法人税収を高め、また消費者余剰を上昇させるため、厚生を改善する。しかし、アンチダンピング措置が発動されている状態でさらに移転価格の取り締まりを強化すると、輸出国の厚生はかえって低下するおそれがあることが明らかになった。

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